ALDOCHANDRA Start a build

Underwriting worksheet — No. 05


Multi-offer negotiation modeler

Three buyers, three prices, three very different odds of actually closing. This weighs each offer by its modeled close probability, then ranks them by what the fee is really worth.

Basis of estimate
One contract, offers priced at assignment
Leading measure
Expected value of the best offer
Prepared by
Aldo Chandra, Philadelphia PA

Expected value, best offer

--

--

Gross fee weighted by the odds the buyer performs. The highest price on the table is not always the offer worth the most, and this is the arithmetic that says which one is.

Supporting measureBest offer
01

Deal basis

Your side of the trade. Adjust any line; every figure on this page restates immediately.

Your position

Line itemAssumption
$
$

Used only to state each fee as a share of after-repair value. It does not move the ranking.

02

Buyer offers (3/5)

Up to five buyers. Funding type, proof of funds, contingencies and track record all feed the modeled close probability.

03

Expected value

All figures rounded to the dollar.

04

Offer by offer

Each buyer read on its own terms, ranked left to right by expected fee value.

05

Side by side

The same schedule as a single statement. The leading column is the best offer.

This modeler gives planning estimates only. Close probability is a weighted model built on funding type, proof of funds, contingencies, and buyer track record — it is not a prediction, and a real buyer can beat or blow the number. Verify funds, contract terms, and title on every deal. Nothing here is tax, legal, or investment advice.

← All tools